DukeNC State
Duke · What Changed · vs. Tennessee · Oct 20, 2026 Exhibition

Projection pace swing

Projection pace swing. Cumulative PPG after each exhibition; dashed lines are the starter projections. Cayden Boozer's exhibition scoring average moved from 12.0 to 7.0 PPG after 2 points against Tennessee, crossing to below his 9.0 starter projection. Exhibitions are not graded.
Cayden Boozer's exhibition scoring average moved from 12.0 to 7.0 PPG after 2 points against Tennessee, crossing to below his 9.0 starter projection. Exhibitions are not graded.

Chart and caption generated automatically from the official box scores: the biggest shift from the previous game. Angle: Projection pace swing.

The data

PlayerStarter projectionAfter BelmontAfter Tennessee
John Blackwell1517.017.5
Patrick Ngongba II14.55.09.0
Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje1119.015.0
Cayden Boozer912.07.0
Dame Sarr619.017.0
Deron Rippey Jr.611.016.0
Cameron Williams22.02.0
Sebastian Wilkins28.09.5
Bryson Howard25.04.5
Jacob Theodosiou1.90.01.5
Maxime Meyer1.54.03.5

Compared: Oct 8 vs. Belmont → Oct 20 vs. Tennessee. Source: official Duke box scores on goduke.com, recorded by hand.